Fascinating Dr Mel............

Exactally how many inches of water is that when it melts?
~Peace Glenna~

What system are you using to measure this? We have had 29 inches of snow far in Prospect! Maybe you need to get out in the real world Doc.

I believe that Prospect is "higher" than New Haven....thus more snow than at Tweed or the New Haven green. Drive through Woodbridge and there is more snow than in Westville!

The common factor for most of these storms has been altitude. The closer you are to sea level, the less snow you get. Higher elevations have had jackpots!

I believe these are the official totals from the NWS. The New Haven location is at Tweed, I believe, and the Hartford location is at Bradley airport.

The official results from New Haven, almost never match up to the totals that most people see because of its location.

February ...the curtain begins to close on the East Coast winter fan.

The meteorological community defines “winter” as the period from December 1 through February 28. In the Atlantic States…while it is possible to have a significant snowfall as early as late November or as late as mid March…the meat of winter is normally December, January, and February.

As the first days of February are now quickly approaching…winter is entering its final act in the Atlantic states from the Tri-State area southward to Virginia. As we move into February the solar angle and the suns strength are now are constantly moving toward us. Sunshine markedly increases everywhere in the USA in February. At 41 north latitude for example…whether you are Spain….in Naples Italy on the Mediterranean Sea… in Japan…or in New Haven, Connecticut – the solar angle is shorting the nights and lengenthing the days at little more every day. Mean temperatures everywhere on the USA mainland begin responding to the increasing strength and angle of the sun. It’s getting a little WARMER every day.

For the East Coast winter fan… February represents a quickening final curtain to winter that just seems to get faster with each passing day. What snow tries to fall in the Atlantic States in February…must now deal with not only more frequent advections of warm subtropical air to the south - but an intensifying solar angle. While February might have more snow than December or January in many areas on average…it has fewer days with snowcover. In most years when seasonal snowfall has been close to normal or frequently running below normal in some areas (like this year in many parts of inland CT)…the winter fan hopes the last month of meteorological winter will bring that blockbuster snowstorm to save the season.

While a steady stream of TV images show 40-inch snowstorms in California…and bitter cold in North Dakota… the East Coast winter fan feels like a spectator to winter rather than a participant. With no substantial snow likely for the next 12 to 15 days across the Tri-State area …possibly 60 F temperatures in the area next week…and an El Nino pattern that looks to bring mild air across the East Coast for at least a portion of February… that final curtain to winter once again seems to be coming too fast for the embattled East Coast winter fan.

Just think how much snow we would have if we didn't have man made global warming:-)

Herenwe are almost to the end of January and have had very little snow. What happened to the beautiful snowly winters we used to have. This is New England and we are supposed to have snow--not 40 degree weather.

Should have proof read before I sent the above. Should read: Here we are, and snowy winters, not snowly.

And there you are! I was wondering how long it would be until you were on here whining about the lack of winter weather this month. Like myself & several others have told you, if you want a lot of snow, MOVE NORTH! For the most part, you are not going to get it in this area. When you do move, take the cold we do get with you.

People make me laugh when there is an average winter in CT. Hello, it's the East Coast - not MI or Devnver! We are supposed to only have light snow in winter. Why do people get dissapointed in "normal weather" ?

Tri-State winter fans are once again looking for that 99-yard pass to save the season (lol). Did you notice now that there is absolutely NO chance of snow they keep trying to stick a snow icon at the end of the 8 day forecast. Funny, when there has been days on end of sunny dry weather, they always have keep saying how they “possible see snow” at the end of the forecast period (lol). It so funny to watch the look on their face.

The real irony here is that AccuWeather and the Weather Channel (the centers of weather hype on planet earth) tried to hype up winter in the biggest media market in the USA (the Northeast USA). Henry Margusity and Joe B (huge winter fans of course) told every network that would give them five minutes…how the winter of 2009/2010 would be like the winter of 1977 (one of the coldest on record – a huge anomaly on the East Coast). How below freezing temps would prevail from December to mid March. Ha! December came in only about 1.5 F below normal in most of the eastern USA, while January is running ABOVE NORMAL at almost every single NWS station on the East Coast/I-95 corridor!! Here are the numbers across the Tri-State area as of today:

NWS - Bradley, CT 27.9 F ( +2.2 F)

NWS -Central Park NY 32.2 F (0.0 F)

NWS -Bridgeport, CT 29.3 F (-0.7 F)

NWS - Atlantic City, NJ 32.8 F ( +0.6 F)

Only NWS Bridgeport is slightly below normal…and you still have all that warm weather over the weekend and early next week to average in (60 F on Monday likely). By the last days of January next week…EVERY SINGLE NWS STATION will end the month ABOVE normal across the Tri-State (and much of the Eastern USA). Even snowfall has been below normal in much of inland CT (NWS Bradley 7 inches BELOW normal!). When you take the first two months of meteorological winter (Dec/Jan) winter across the Tri-State area will be running WARMER than average with less snow than average across many areas (including interior CT). So much for the winter of 1977 (lol).

SI as always, you were right once again…EL Nino has take what is normally a modest Tri-State winter and made it the typically whimpy Tri-State winter. They try to “market the winter” in lowland temperate climates like the East Coast/I-95 corridor…and it blows up in their face 9 times out of 10. Now with just the last month of meteorological winter left…they are looking for that 99-yard pass to save the season. I expect to see many more of those “there is snow in the eight day forecast” while there is mild Pacific pattern, dry weather, and advections of warm subtropical air from the southland in February. All the while as the solar angle is getting stronger each day.

Stay tuned old timer…the “weather show” is going to end pretty funny as always.

Well, you'll just need to stop posting on here while you are drunk and / or high.

Stop Global Warming!

Shoreliner:

Just an update.

Well it’s now official…at all three local NWS stations (NYC, BRIDGEPORT, BRADLEY) January is now running warmer than normal. NWS Bridgeport now has a January mean temp of 30.5 F (0.6 F above normal). With no snow cover and the solar angle increasing each day…it looks like the last month of meteorological winter has its work cut out for it. Here is the current snow cover. From 42 north latitude southward…there is no snow cover on the USA mainland:

http://image.weather.com/images/maps/winter/us_snowcover_large_usen.jpg

Even the turn to cooler weather will be slow to come. Temps across the Tri-State might hit 48 F +. The truly cold air never gets to the Gulf Coast, so with any southerly wind developing ahead of the weak storm/cold front, there should be little resistance to the approach of the milder air, especially with no snow on the ground. Of course our old friend, the Southeast subtropical ridge is coming back again. The broad and deep upper-level trough moves toward the East in the next 24 hours, it'll try to flatten this very ridge, but it's not going to take it out.

For the winter fan…the forces of the southern monsoon are already getting ready for war. How long will it be before that first humid 80 F day?

Not only will the storm this weekend fully miss the Tri-State (ya!)...but the cold shot will be a quick one. Only Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will have highs around 25 30 F. Then another moderation next week with highs back near 40 F.

No snow in sight next week ! Second week of Febuary looks dry. Gotta love that dry winter in the Tri-State!

Hey, guys!

Just checking in. How's it going? I'm having a great time! Sadly, though, another couple weeks & then it's back to realty! :(

Hey, Matt, I notice our 'friends' have been awful quiet lately. Today, after finding out that the storm will be a miss, they'll probably be on a park bench somewhere sulking, so I doubt you'll hear from them today. ;)

Hey, Matt, I was just checking out 'Glacier Gil's' forecast. Gotta love the way he puts 'big temp drop' in bold letters, however 'forgets' to mention the temperature moderation next week. Some things never change!

Shoreliner...

Don't worry about the "big cold snap" -lol. The reality is it will Fri-Sat will have highs 25 to 30 F, Sunday should be above freezing...then it's right back to normal highs near 40 next week. In fact, there is no real snow in sight in the next 10 days. We only have about 4 weeks to go then it's mostly over.

Except for the "winter show" that is (lol)

Thursday Jan 29. Dr. Mel, This snow seemed to miss the quadruple-super maxi -mini microcast doppler- tomorrow's weather today, forecast! What happened this time?

Hey Matt, "No now in sight for the next ten days" Open yours eyes, it is snowing one day after this prediction!

It appears the weatherman were alseep for this storm. You think with all that hi-tech equipment that would have given us a heads up. It was very dangerious driving to work this morning near I84 Danbury/Ridgefield. A heads up would have been nice.

I want a job where you can be wrong all the time and still get a raise!

Oh come on...a few flakes this morning. It'll pass in a few hours. People love to hype the smallest things. They are supposed to get 16 inches in the mts of Virginia. THAT is a snowstorm.

Dr. Mel, really a doctor, really? You aren't any worse then the other weather bums who haven't gotten one, not one, prediction right! When you say "big storm, over a foot of snow coming" we get about 5 inches and today "flurries" turned out to be three inches with school closures. How do you, and your collegues, sleep at night knowing you are so bad in your job? Thank God the rest of the world cannot be so bad and still keep getting a big, fat paycheck. Embarrasing.

We live up here in backcountry Stamford at its highest point and we had 4 inches of snow as of 11:00 a.m. (Jan 28)

Snow hater - right back at ya - if you hate snow, move south and take the 40 degree winters with you.

is is supposed to snow tonight?????February 2??

I hope we get alot of snow so there will be no school tommorrow for me!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I hope there will be alot of SNOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Sorry to burst your bubble, but the most there'll be is a 1/2 inch. So, I suggest getting off of Daddy's computer & doing your homework, because the most you're getting tomorrow will be a delay.

Have fun in school today! LOL!!!!!!!

Hey, Si & Matt,

Just checking out 'Glacier's' forecast on here. He must really be p*ssed about yet another miss for the tri-state area, huh? I almost wish I was there so I could see the look on his face when he had to say that the computer models were trending it more to the south, away from Connecticut.

The winter fans up there must really be seeing red right now! LOL!!!!!!!

Wonder why my comment went way up below clm's comment? That's weird!

No way, clm. When (not if) I move south, I leaving the chilly 40 temps up here with you weed smokin' winter lovers.

Will It Snow Tommorow in Nwe Jersey??? please lever message in my inobx on hotmail

Um, why don't you just check the weather online if you need to know?

Glad it missed us. Mary L. Tracy school in Orange is having our Valentine's Fiar for the school today !
Come on down !

Glad it missed us. Mary L. Tracy school in Orange is having our Valentine's Fair for the school today !
Come on down !

Hi Dr. Mel and the news 8 team, I recently moved to to Silver Spring Maryland and thought I would move away from snow. Well, I am looking at about 30 inches outside.

It would appear that to get away from snow, I will have to move back to Connecticut.

I wished I hadn't cancelled my plans for Saturday, but I'm glad it missed us. My cousin in Newport News, VA was expecting approx 8in on top of the 8 they got last weekend. Don't wish I was there!!!!

Thats so cool how were going to get 6 to 12 inches of snow on Wednesday

its suppposed to start snowing early morning 4:00 and we are supposed to get 6-12 inches of snow hope there is no school tomorrow wow

yeah i heard i hope they have a school cancellation who doesnt like school??? lol everyone hates it

We'll see how much you brats love it when you have to go to school until the beginning of July. Or miss time out of your April vacation. ;)

WRONG AGAIN 12 TO 18 INCHES BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ? MILFORD GOT 6 INCHES A GUST TO MAYBE 25 YOUVE CRIED WOLF LAST TIME IN THIS HOUSE CH 8 IS REMOVED FROM TV LINE UP

Are there actual qualifications you have to meet to become a weatherman? Because over the past few years their predictability has diminished year over year. What is the point in even watching the weather until it after a storm moves by to see what happens?

can snowfall totals by town be put on tnh's website looking for old saybrook
for 2/9/10
thank you

exactly how are you removing a basic channel from your lineup. Settle down, so it didn't snow as much as expected. Did it really cause you that much trouble.

I just finished cleaning up the second dose of global warming here in East Wallingford. We had a total of 9 inches from the Feb 16 storm in two doses when measured in a non drifted or wind swept area.

you can get storm totals from the ct dot website under weather roundup