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4 comments

Comment from: SI [Visitor]
SIErica…just a few corrections to your analysis of Irene:

First, several hurricanes have caused higher storm surges in Connecticut (and Long Island) than tropical storm Irene: Hurricane Carol (1954) had higher storm surges in eastern Connecticut (up to 10 feet above msl), while the 1938 Hurricane had much higher storm surges east of New Haven (perhaps as high as 12 above msl).

Next, although certainly the astronomical high tide caused by a new moon, coinciding with the arrival of Hurricane Irene making landfall at the same time had a significant effect on tidal flooding in Connecticut….the real culprit was the TRACK of hurricane Irene. Most (in fact just about all) tropical cyclones approach the Tri-State area (Long Island/Connecticut) in a “northeasterly” direction of movement. This type of path keeps the much stronger eastern semi-circular of the cyclone well east of Connecticut/Long Island …with the worst winds and most of the storm surge power spent over the open sea (or out of the far eastern Rhode Island/Cape). This is why, despite many hurricanes move parallel the East Coast (like Bob (1991), Donna (1960), Carol (1954), Edna (1954), the 44 Hurricane….ect few pf these storms ever produce “sustained” hurricane force winds along the Middle Atlantic coast. Only the 1938 hurricane, Hurricane Belle (1976 – a weak storm with 70-75 mph winds), and Hurricane Gloria (1985) tracked in a way that the “bulk of the severe eastern semi-circle passed over the bulk of Connecticut”. Irene had a landfall right near NYC – thus the “entire state of Connecticut was dead center in the worst eastern half of the cyclone”. I drove from Groton Long Point to Westport, and the number of trees down and even areas of overwash were the same.

Finally, tropical storm Irene was the worst storm to strike Connecticut since Hurricane Gloria in 1985, no doubt about it – however Hurricane Irene is NOWHERE NEAR AS DAMAGING TO CT/LI/RI AS THE 1938 HURRICANE! True, Irene will be a billion dollar storm, but this is due to inflation (2011 adjusted dollars), and the cost of repair and cleanup costs. The 1938 HURRICANE DESTROYED 170,000 STRUCTURES in Connecticut, Long Island, and Rhode Island – Irene destroyed a few hundred (maybe). 700 people were killed in the 38 cyclone, islands were cut in two, and whole coastal communities on Long Island and Rhode Island were swept out to sea (people, stores, roads, schools…etc). Irene was a summer thundershower compared to the 38 cyclone. Officially, Irene was a tropical storm at landfall (65-mph winds – 965 mb pressure)….the 1938 Hurricane had 115-mph winds and a 946 mb pressure at landfall). Survivors of South County Rhode Island claim they saw a 30 foot tidal wave strike the coast near Westerly, Rhode Island.

This is the bar for hurricanes in this region:

http://www.oocities.org/hurricanene/hurr1938.htm


09/02/11 @ 09:27
Comment from: jeff [Visitor] Email
jeffah-haaa... i see said the blind man as he picked up his hammer and saw... two astronomical bodies pulling together at the same body of water... duuuh, jeff... thank you professsor erica...!!!
09/02/11 @ 22:22
To SI... if you are not a meteorologist, I think you might've missed your calling! I think you might've misunderstood the preface of my blog post. I said that Irene was a recipe for one of the worst storm surges in state history; I did not claim that it was the worst storm surge we've ever experienced. And I decided to focus on the unusual coincidence of high astronomical tide with the approach of the storm as one of the main causes of this high surge. Of course, the storm's track, just barely grazing the western portions of the Sound, played the biggest role in the surge... it would be negligent of me to ignore this!
09/06/11 @ 18:22
Comment from: jeff [Visitor] Email
jeff...did the change in weather or astrological bodies last week have anything to do with the Boston Red Sox 'melt-down'...???
10/08/11 @ 20:12